Cambridge Unitedvs
Reading
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cambridge United 2-1 Reading
Original prediction
Reading
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 35.9% | 35.1% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 28.5% | 25.9% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 35.6% | 39.0% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cambridge UnitedDWLLD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ReadingWWDWD
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Cambridge UnitedReading
60.0Attack91.7
46.7Defence58.3
53.3Form58.3
56.5Power66.3
1.54xG1.72