Cambridge Unitedvs
Plymouth
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cambridge United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cambridge United 2-3 Plymouth
Original prediction
Cambridge United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 39.1% | 43.0% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.3% | 26.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 34.6% | 30.3% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Cambridge United
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Cambridge United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60