Cambridge Unitedvs
Northampton
SCHEDULEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cambridge United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Northampton are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the EFL Trophy, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.2%
Model confidence
13.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60