Cambridge Unitedvs
Luton
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/7/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Cambridge United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Luton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Luton hold a 27.7-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Luton holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luton
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Luton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00