Cambridge Unitedvs
Colchester
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/17/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cambridge United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Cambridge United are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Colchester are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cambridge United hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Cambridge United holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cambridge United
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Cambridge United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20