GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/17/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cambridge United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Charlton are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlton hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Charlton holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlton

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Charlton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cambridge UnitedLDLDL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CharltonWDLWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Cambridge UnitedCharlton
55.6Attack91.7
44.4Defence41.7
33.3Form58.3
44.0Power63.5
1.85xG2.14
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