Cambridge Unitedvs
Brighton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brighton U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cambridge United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Brighton U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Brighton U21 hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Brighton U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brighton U21
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Brighton U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20