GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Brighton U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cambridge United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Brighton U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Brighton U21 hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Brighton U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Brighton U21

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Brighton U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cambridge UnitedLLWLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Brighton U21LDWLD

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cambridge UnitedBrighton U21
55.6Attack44.4
44.4Defence66.7
33.3Form50.0
44.0Power53.7
1.42xG1.50
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