Cambridge Unitedvs
Blackpool
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cambridge United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cambridge United 1-0 Blackpool
Original prediction
Cambridge United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 46.4% | 45.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 26.1% | 25.7% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 27.5% | 29.1% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Cambridge United
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Cambridge United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80