Cambridge Unitedvs
AFC Wimbledon
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cambridge United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cambridge United 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Original prediction
Cambridge United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 51.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.9% | 27.2% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.19 | 22.1% | 24.2% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Cambridge United
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Cambridge United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00