Cambridge Cityvs
Maldon & Tiptree
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cambridge City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cambridge City 6-1 Maldon & Tiptree
Original prediction
Cambridge City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.0% | 37.0% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.7% | 28.4% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.3% | 34.7% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Cambridge City
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Cambridge City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00