Cambrian & Clydachvs
Penybont
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penybont · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cambrian & Clydach 2-2 Penybont
Original prediction
Penybont
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.72 | 24.3% | 29.0% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.6% | 27.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.1% | 43.9% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Penybont
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Penybont has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60