GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cambrian & Clydach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Cambrian & Clydach 2-1 Holywell

Original prediction

Cambrian & Clydach

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4761.9%57.7%-4.2 pts
Draw4.6319.6%21.3%1.7 pts
Away4.9018.5%21.0%2.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Cambrian & Clydach

Probability

57.7%

Model confidence

57.7%

Cambrian & Clydach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cambrian & ClydachDDLWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
HolywellDLLLL

GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Cambrian & ClydachHolywell
47.6Attack47.6
52.4Defence0.0
42.9Form4.8
48.8Power20.8
2.49xG1.19
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