Cambrian & Clydachvs
Airbus UK
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 10/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Airbus UK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cambrian & Clydach 2-3 Airbus UK
Original prediction
Airbus UK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.84 | 31.7% | 23.7% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.6% | 20.2% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.6% | 56.1% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Airbus UK
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Airbus UK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 22 · avg 2.00/4.40
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20