GGOALVIO

World · ASEAN Championship · 12/17/2024, 10:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cambodia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Cambodia are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Timor-Leste are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cambodia hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 17.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.7% in the ASEAN Championship, while Cambodia holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cambodia

Probability

66.7%

Model confidence

66.7%

Cambodia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CambodiaLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Timor-LesteLLLDW

GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
CambodiaTimor-Leste
58.3Attack22.2
33.3Defence0.0
33.3Form22.2
44.6Power17.2
2.75xG1.15
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