Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arapongas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Cambé are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Arapongas are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Arapongas hold a 28.1-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 70.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the Paranaense - 3, while Arapongas holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arapongas
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Arapongas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/3.50
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/1.00