Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Camacha · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Camacha are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Monção are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Camacha hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.3% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A, while Camacha holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Camacha
Probability
70.3%
Model confidence
70.3%
Camacha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50