Calvo Sotelovs
RSD Alcalá
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RSD Alcalá · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Calvo Sotelo 0-0 RSD Alcalá
Original prediction
RSD Alcalá
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.9% | 31.7% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.9% | 26.9% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.2% | 41.4% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
RSD Alcalá
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
RSD Alcalá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00