Calvo Sotelovs
Gimnástica Segoviana
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Calvo Sotelo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Calvo Sotelo 0-3 Gimnástica Segoviana
Original prediction
Calvo Sotelo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 36.0% | 37.7% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.8% | 29.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.1% | 33.1% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Calvo Sotelo
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Calvo Sotelo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00