Calvo Sotelovs
Atlético Paso
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Calvo Sotelo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Calvo Sotelo 0-0 Atlético Paso
Original prediction
Calvo Sotelo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.3% | 40.1% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.4% | 28.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.3% | 31.1% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Calvo Sotelo
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Calvo Sotelo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/4.00