Calvi Noalevs
Este
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone C · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Calvi Noale · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Calvi Noale 0-1 Este
Original prediction
Calvi Noale
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 37.6% | 37.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 30.7% | 30.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 31.7% | 32.2% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Calvi Noale
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Calvi Noale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80