GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/6/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Caldiero Terme are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Virtus Verona are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Virtus Verona hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (38.1 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caldiero TermeLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Virtus VeronaLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Caldiero TermeVirtus Verona
34.2Attack30.7
43.9Defence62.3
28.9Form41.2
38.1Power46.5
0.81xG0.97
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