GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/8/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pergolettese · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Caldiero Terme are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pergolettese are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pergolettese hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (38.1 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Pergolettese holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pergolettese

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Pergolettese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caldiero TermeDWDLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
PergoletteseWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Caldiero TermePergolettese
34.2Attack38.6
43.9Defence56.1
28.9Form39.5
38.1Power45.8
0.94xG1.21
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