GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/1/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Caldiero Terme are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WWDL), averaging 1.75 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Padova are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (38.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Padova

Probability

61.0%

Model confidence

61.0%

Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caldiero TermeWWDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.75/2.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
PadovaWWLLD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Caldiero TermePadova
34.2Attack48.2
43.9Defence75.4
28.9Form67.5
38.1Power64.8
0.50xG1.61
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