Caldiero Termevs
Novara
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/16/2025, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Caldiero Terme are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Novara are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Novara hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (38.1 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80