GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/15/2024, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Caldiero Terme are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lumezzane are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (38.1 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lumezzane

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caldiero TermeLLWDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LumezzaneWWLLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Caldiero TermeLumezzane
34.2Attack43.0
43.9Defence57.9
28.9Form46.5
38.1Power50.8
0.89xG1.37
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