GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/18/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Caldiero Terme are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lecco are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lecco hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (38.1 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caldiero TermeLDDLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LeccoWLWDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Caldiero TermeLecco
34.2Attack31.6
43.9Defence58.8
28.9Form37.7
38.1Power44.9
0.89xG0.99
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