GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/29/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Giana Erminio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Caldiero Terme are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (38.1 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Giana Erminio holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Giana Erminio

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Giana Erminio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caldiero TermeDDLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Giana ErminioDLLWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Caldiero TermeGiana Erminio
34.2Attack40.4
43.9Defence61.4
28.9Form46.5
38.1Power50.7
0.82xG1.29
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