GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/6/2025, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atalanta II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Caldiero Terme are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atalanta II are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (38.1 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Atalanta II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atalanta II

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Atalanta II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caldiero TermeDLWLD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atalanta IIWDWDD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Caldiero TermeAtalanta II
34.2Attack37.7
43.9Defence68.4
28.9Form51.8
38.1Power54.4
0.66xG1.22
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