GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/22/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Caldiero Terme are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Albinoleffe are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Albinoleffe hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (38.1 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caldiero TermeWDLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AlbinoleffeWWDWD

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Caldiero TermeAlbinoleffe
34.2Attack29.8
43.9Defence67.5
28.9Form39.5
38.1Power47.9
0.69xG0.94
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