Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caldas · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Caldas 2-4 Louletano
Original prediction
Caldas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Caldas
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CaldasDLDLD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LouletanoLDLWW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CaldasLouletano
53.6Attack0.0
53.6Defence100.0
54.8Form33.3
56.2Power45.3
1.50xG1.03