Calcutta Customsvs
Minerva Punjab
COMPLETEDIndia · IFA Shield · 9/27/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minerva Punjab · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Calcutta Customs 0-7 Minerva Punjab
Original prediction
Minerva Punjab
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.46 | 12.1% | 28.5% | 16.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.11 | 17.6% | 23.9% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 1.28 | 70.3% | 47.7% | -22.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Minerva Punjab
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Minerva Punjab has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40