Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Terrassa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Calamocha 0-1 Terrassa
Original prediction
Terrassa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.4% | 34.9% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.1% | 28.9% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.5% | 36.2% | -10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Terrassa
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Terrassa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CalamochaWDWLL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TerrassaLLLDD
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CalamochaTerrassa
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.30xG1.11