GGOALVIO

San-Marino · Coppa Titano · 10/25/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

La Fiorita · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Cailungo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while La Fiorita are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and La Fiorita hold a 61.8-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 88.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Coppa Titano, while La Fiorita holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

La Fiorita

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

56.4%

La Fiorita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CailungoLLWLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
La FioritaDWWWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CailungoLa Fiorita
0.0Attack83.3
66.7Defence77.8
0.0Form100.0
26.7Power88.5
0.75xG1.71
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