Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Domagnano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Cailungo are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Domagnano are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Domagnano hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (19.2 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Campionato, while Domagnano holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Domagnano
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
13.1%
Domagnano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60