Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arezzo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cagliari 1-0 Arezzo
Original prediction
Arezzo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Arezzo
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
11.9%
Arezzo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CagliariDDWDW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ArezzoWDLLD
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CagliariArezzo
55.6Attack66.7
33.3Defence100.0
66.7Form100.0
55.1Power88.7
1.43xG1.69