Cagliari U20vs
Sassuolo U20
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 1 · 9/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cagliari U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cagliari U20 2-1 Sassuolo U20
Original prediction
Cagliari U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.8% | 44.9% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.2% | 26.3% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 36.1% | 28.8% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Cagliari U20
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Cagliari U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40