Cagliari U20vs
Monza U20
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 1 · 10/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cagliari U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cagliari U20 1-1 Monza U20
Original prediction
Cagliari U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.7% | 37.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.5% | 27.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.8% | 34.2% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Cagliari U20
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Cagliari U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00