Caerswsvs
Buckley Town
SCHEDULEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caersws · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Caersws are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Buckley Town are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Caersws hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the FAW Championship, favouring Caersws with 9.7% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Caersws
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
9.7%
Caersws has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 20 · avg 1.20/4.00