Caerphilly Athleticvs
Ynyshir Albions
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/22/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ynyshir Albions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Caerphilly Athletic 2-1 Ynyshir Albions
Original prediction
Ynyshir Albions
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Ynyshir Albions
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Ynyshir Albions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Caerphilly AthleticLDL
GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/2.00
BTTS 0/3O2.5 2/3
Ynyshir AlbionsDWDLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Caerphilly AthleticYnyshir Albions
0.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence83.3
11.1Form66.7
19.9Power64.8
1.30xG1.81