Caerphilly Athleticvs
Pontypridd Town
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 9/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pontypridd Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Caerphilly Athletic 1-2 Pontypridd Town
Original prediction
Pontypridd Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Pontypridd Town
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Pontypridd Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Caerphilly AthleticLDWWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pontypridd TownLDWWW
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Caerphilly AthleticPontypridd Town
33.3Attack88.9
42.9Defence38.9
38.1Form72.2
41.1Power68.4
1.39xG2.53