Caerphilly Athleticvs
Newport City
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 10/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newport City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Caerphilly Athletic 3-2 Newport City
Original prediction
Newport City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–112%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Newport City
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Newport City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Caerphilly AthleticLLLDW
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Newport CityDDLLW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Caerphilly AthleticNewport City
33.3Attack47.6
37.0Defence71.4
29.6Form38.1
36.5Power51.2
0.82xG1.78