Caerphilly Athleticvs
Baglan Dragons
SCHEDULEDWales · FAW Championship · 11/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baglan Dragons · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 28 October 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Baglan Dragons
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Baglan Dragons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Caerphilly AthleticWWWLL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Baglan DragonsWDWLL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Caerphilly AthleticBaglan Dragons
45.5Attack36.4
39.4Defence63.6
42.4Form51.5
44.9Power52.9
1.07xG1.27