Caerphilly Athleticvs
Aberystwyth Town
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 9/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aberystwyth Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Caerphilly Athletic 2-3 Aberystwyth Town
Original prediction
Aberystwyth Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Aberystwyth Town
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Aberystwyth Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Caerphilly AthleticDWWLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Aberystwyth TownWWWLW
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Caerphilly AthleticAberystwyth Town
27.8Attack100.0
50.0Defence66.7
44.4Form80.0
43.8Power79.8
1.01xG2.25