GGOALVIO

Caernarfon Town logoCaernarfon TownvsThe New Saints logoThe New Saints

SCHEDULED

Wales · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Caernarfon Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while The New Saints are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and The New Saints hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring a draw with 13.3% confidence, a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

28.1%

Model confidence

13.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caernarfon TownLWLLW

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
The New SaintsWDWLL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Caernarfon TownThe New Saints
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form66.7
53.0Power68.0
1.41xG1.35
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