Caernarfon Townvs
Penybont
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/7/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caernarfon Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Caernarfon Town 1-2 Penybont
Original prediction
Caernarfon Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Caernarfon Town
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Caernarfon Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Caernarfon TownWLLWW
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
PenybontDLLWW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Caernarfon TownPenybont
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence83.3
50.0Form66.7
53.0Power64.8
1.42xG1.34