Caernarfon Townvs
Newtown AFC
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/18/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caernarfon Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Caernarfon Town are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Newtown AFC are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Caernarfon Town hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 47.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Premier League, while Caernarfon Town holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Caernarfon Town
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Caernarfon Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 4.00/0.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.67/1.33