GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/18/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Caernarfon Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Caernarfon Town are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Newtown AFC are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Caernarfon Town hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 47.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Premier League, while Caernarfon Town holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Caernarfon Town

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Caernarfon Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caernarfon TownW

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 4.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Newtown AFCLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Caernarfon TownNewtown AFC
50.0Attack49.5
50.0Defence48.5
50.0Form44.4
53.0Power47.7
1.70xG1.35
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