Caernarfon Townvs
Bala Town
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/29/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Caernarfon Town are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Bala Town are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bala Town hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 2.33/0.67
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 0.67/0.00