Caerau (Ely)vs
Treowen Stars
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Treowen Stars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Caerau (Ely) 3-2 Treowen Stars
Original prediction
Treowen Stars
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–37%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–37%
Predicted outcome
Treowen Stars
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Treowen Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Caerau (Ely)LLWDL
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Treowen StarsWWWLW
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Caerau (Ely)Treowen Stars
66.7Attack91.7
0.0Defence50.0
26.7Form75.0
33.3Power72.5
1.84xG3.01