Caerau (Ely)vs
Swansea University
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/21/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swansea University · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Caerau (Ely) 1-5 Swansea University
Original prediction
Swansea University
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Swansea University
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Swansea University has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Caerau (Ely)WDLDL
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Swansea UniversityWWW
GF 9 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00
BTTS 0/3O2.5 3/3
Caerau (Ely)Swansea University
88.9Attack100.0
22.2Defence100.0
44.4Form100.0
53.1Power100.0
1.70xG2.48