Caerau (Ely)vs
Newport City
SCHEDULEDWales · FAW Championship · 11/20/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caerau (Ely) · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 21 October 2026 at 02:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Caerau (Ely)
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Caerau (Ely) has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Caerau (Ely)WWWWW
GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Newport CityWLDDL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Caerau (Ely)Newport City
73.3Attack50.0
40.0Defence62.5
63.3Form33.3
59.5Power47.7
2.06xG1.63